William H. Overholt is a senior research fellow at Harvard, where he currently organizes a Rise of China project with Lawrence Summers. He wrote the first book (1993) to argue that China would become a superpower; a 2018 book saying that China was headed into an era of financial and political stress, and a 2023 article arguing that, on its current trajectory, China will become the slowest growing major economy. From 2013–2015 he served concurrently as President of Fung Global Institute in Hong Kong. Previously he was Director and Distinguished Chair at the Center for Asia Pacific Policy, at RAND Corp. (2002–2008). He received his BA from Harvard and his MPhil and PhD from Yale.